Fast Read
Highlights
The patterns the sim keeps surfacing.
One Bracket
Bracket Board
Building bracket...
Market Gap
What prediction markets have to say
A clean side-by-side between the model and live Kalshi round prices.
Probability Board
Round Survival Odds
Remaining-game odds from Warren Nolan Elo plus seven official NCAA team stats, rerun against the current bracket state.
| Team | R32 | S16 | E8 | F4 | Title |
|---|
Inputs
Sources And References
Every live feed on the page plus the relevant docs are linked here.
Ops
Feed Notes
Under The Hood
The slightly longer version
The short version is bracket tree plus Warren Nolan Elo, seven official NCAA stat pages, a tournament-form band, and a pile of weighted coin flips. The longer version is where the fun bugs usually hide, and why the most likely bracket is not always the highest-EV bracket.
Open the technical explainer
Want more AI fun? Reach out to dan@besaltlabs.ai.
